Sitemap - 2026 - The Writ

Alberta Referendum Poll Tracker

The Numbers: Pierre Poilievre's problematic polls

Carney will call most byelections in shortest amount of time since 1950

Conservatives slide in projection in wake of series of bad polls

The Writ's Federal Vote and Seat Projections

The Writ's Riding Projections

The Numbers: Just how big is the Liberal lead, really?

Weekly Writ 7/30: Liberal majority not at stake in byelections, not yet (and not likely soon)

Seat Projection: Liberals 210, Conservatives 93

The Numbers: Will Trump's new tariffs move the polls?

Weekly Writ 7/23: Carney, Trump and tariffs

Liberals lead by nine in projection update

The Numbers: Maybe we were wrong?

Weekly Writ 7/16: Could the Greens make a run at government in PEI?

Tracking polls push Liberals to lowest level since February

The Numbers: New leader, who dis?

Weekly Writ 7/9: Martel's Senate appointment means high-stakes byelection to come

Can the Liberals flip Chicoutimi—Le Fjord?

The Numbers: New Leaders Draft

Polls give Liberals reason to celebrate on Canada Day

The Numbers: Will it be a cruel summer for Carney or Poilievre?

Weekly Writ 6/25: Has the Liberal polling pendulum swung back?

#EveryElectionProject: Prince Edward Island

The Conservatives' B.C. problem

The State of the Writ, Year 5

The Numbers: Aiming for redemption in the Quiz

Weekly Writ 6/18: Who won the House sitting?

#EveryElectionProject: Saskatchewan

Liberals still dominating but slide again in projection

The Writ Podcast: The Pollster Panel is back!

The Numbers: A new polling low for Poilievre?

Weekly Writ 6/11: Liberal softness, NDP lift and Conservative drift

Which party is the favourite in the upcoming vacancies?

The Numbers: Orange Crush or Orange Crushed?

Weekly Writ 6/4: What to make of Liberal, NDP divergences in the polls

NDP gets a bump, but it's too early to know it isn't a blip

The Numbers: Will Alberta's referendum pit Conservatives vs. Conservatives?

Weekly Writ 5/28: Can the Liberals hold Guilbeault's seat?

Alberta Referendum Poll Tracker launched

The Numbers: Carney, Poilievre and Lewis. Buy or sell?

Weekly Writ 5/21: Can Fréchette pull off a Carney?

Liberals hit highest point in the seat projection

The Numbers: Is Smith playing with matches in Alberta's referendum powder keg?

Weekly Writ 5/14: With stability in Ottawa, the action is in the provinces now

8.1 million Conservative voters? Not anymore

The Numbers: Carney's got the boomers — and the youths, too?

Weekly Writ 5/7: How the BC Conservative leadership could play out — and why it matters

Carney's Liberals keep cruising

The Numbers: Trio of vacancies to test Carney, Poilievre and Lewis

Weekly Writ 4/30: Doug Ford is lucky he called an early election

One year after the election, picture is rosier for Carney (and is the NDP on the upswing?)

The Numbers: Pierre Poilievre now has time. Is that good or bad?

Weekly Writ 4/23: Quebec is a horse race

Which Conservative MPs need a party comeback the most?

The Numbers: Majority means no election soon, right?

Weekly Writ 4/16: Why Conservatives should be worried about the byelections

The Numbers: Liberals sweep byelections, secure majority

Where things stand ahead of byelection night

Weekly Writ 4/9: More than majority at stake in upcoming byelections

The Numbers: Another MP crosses floor to Liberals ahead of Monday's byelections

Ontario pushes Liberals higher in seat projection

The Numbers: Carney's majority, Poilievre's challenge and Lewis's debut

Weekly Writ 4/2: Your riding's name could be changing

How the NDP leadership vote broke down, ballot by ballot

Liberals level out — have they hit a ceiling?

The Numbers: Avi Lewis wins

Lewis fundraising lead and front runner status holds into the convention weekend

The Numbers: Is the NDP leadership Avi Lewis's to lose?

Weekly Writ 3/26: What's the NDP's path back?

Liberal lead holds at nearly 12 points

The Numbers: Have we hit Carney's ceiling and Poilievre's floor?

Weekly Writ 3/19: How much do you like (or not) your premier?

Liberals would win 200+ seats if election held today

Vote and seat projection methodology

The Numbers: Floor-crossing + Byelections = Carney majority?

Weekly Writ 3/12: What a difference a year makes

#EveryElectionProject: Alberta

(UPDATED) Avi Lewis maintains fundraising dominance with three weeks to go

The Numbers: Carney, Poilievre go abroad in search of wins

Weekly Writ 3/5: Winning five consecutive elections is no easy feat

#EveryElectionProject: Canada

The Numbers: Carney's Liberals are up big in Alberta. Is it for real?

Weekly Writ 2/26: The polls have shifted

#EveryElectionProject: British Columbia

The Numbers: Poilievre on the ropes as Carney's majority in sight

Weekly Writ 2/19: Is it the end for the last of the Orange Wave in Quebec?

The Numbers: Liberals in majority territory, but there's no election — yet?

Weekly Writ 2/12: What history says about early elections

#EveryElectionProject: Nova Scotia

The Writ Podcast: Carney's bump, Poilievre's challenge and the NDP's choice

Weekly Writ 2/5: Conservatives and Liberals set fundraising records in 2025

#EveryElectionProject: Quebec

The Numbers: Poilievre prevails in Calgary but trails in the polls

Avi Lewis has wide lead in NDP leadership fundraising

Weekly Writ 1/29: Setting the bar for Poilievre's leadership review

The Numbers: Carney gets post-Davos bump as Poilievre falls further back

Weekly Writ 1/22: Where Poilievre’s numbers have dropped the most

The Numbers: Poilievre's negatives spike. Is it a blip or a problem?

Weekly Writ 1/15: Legault goes. What now?

The Numbers: New year, new byelections?

Can you predict what'll happen in 2026?