Sitemap - 2026 - The Writ

Liberals hit highest point in the seat projection

The Writ's Federal Vote and Seat Projections

The Writ's Riding Projections

The Numbers: Is Smith playing with matches in Alberta's referendum powder keg?

Weekly Writ 5/14: With stability in Ottawa, the action is in the provinces now

8.1 million Conservative voters? Not anymore

The Numbers: Carney's got the boomers — and the youths, too?

Weekly Writ 5/7: How the BC Conservative leadership could play out — and why it matters

Carney's Liberals keep cruising

The Numbers: Trio of vacancies to test Carney, Poilievre and Lewis

Weekly Writ 4/30: Doug Ford is lucky he called an early election

One year after the election, picture is rosier for Carney (and is the NDP on the upswing?)

The Numbers: Pierre Poilievre now has time. Is that good or bad?

Weekly Writ 4/23: Quebec is a horse race

#EveryElectionProject: Prince Edward Island

Which Conservative MPs need a party comeback the most?

The Numbers: Majority means no election soon, right?

Weekly Writ 4/16: Why Conservatives should be worried about the byelections

The Numbers: Liberals sweep byelections, secure majority

Where things stand ahead of byelection night

Weekly Writ 4/9: More than majority at stake in upcoming byelections

The Numbers: Another MP crosses floor to Liberals ahead of Monday's byelections

Ontario pushes Liberals higher in seat projection

The Numbers: Carney's majority, Poilievre's challenge and Lewis's debut

Weekly Writ 4/2: Your riding's name could be changing

How the NDP leadership vote broke down, ballot by ballot

Liberals level out — have they hit a ceiling?

The Numbers: Avi Lewis wins

Lewis fundraising lead and front runner status holds into the convention weekend

The Numbers: Is the NDP leadership Avi Lewis's to lose?

Weekly Writ 3/26: What's the NDP's path back?

Liberal lead holds at nearly 12 points

The Numbers: Have we hit Carney's ceiling and Poilievre's floor?

Weekly Writ 3/19: How much do you like (or not) your premier?

Liberals would win 200+ seats if election held today

Vote and seat projection methodology

The Numbers: Floor-crossing + Byelections = Carney majority?

Weekly Writ 3/12: What a difference a year makes

#EveryElectionProject: Alberta

(UPDATED) Avi Lewis maintains fundraising dominance with three weeks to go

The Numbers: Carney, Poilievre go abroad in search of wins

Weekly Writ 3/5: Winning five consecutive elections is no easy feat

#EveryElectionProject: Canada

The Numbers: Carney's Liberals are up big in Alberta. Is it for real?

Weekly Writ 2/26: The polls have shifted

#EveryElectionProject: British Columbia

The Numbers: Poilievre on the ropes as Carney's majority in sight

Weekly Writ 2/19: Is it the end for the last of the Orange Wave in Quebec?

The Numbers: Liberals in majority territory, but there's no election — yet?

Weekly Writ 2/12: What history says about early elections

#EveryElectionProject: Nova Scotia

The Writ Podcast: Carney's bump, Poilievre's challenge and the NDP's choice

Weekly Writ 2/5: Conservatives and Liberals set fundraising records in 2025

#EveryElectionProject: Quebec

The Numbers: Poilievre prevails in Calgary but trails in the polls

Avi Lewis has wide lead in NDP leadership fundraising

Weekly Writ 1/29: Setting the bar for Poilievre's leadership review

#EveryElectionProject: Saskatchewan

The Numbers: Carney gets post-Davos bump as Poilievre falls further back

Weekly Writ 1/22: Where Poilievre’s numbers have dropped the most

The Numbers: Poilievre's negatives spike. Is it a blip or a problem?

Weekly Writ 1/15: Legault goes. What now?

The Numbers: New year, new byelections?

Can you predict what'll happen in 2026?