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Alberta Referendum Poll Tracker
Tracking the polls ahead of Alberta's referendum on October 19
 • Éric Grenier
The Numbers: Pierre Poilievre's problematic polls
Not one, not two, not even three, but four recent polls put the Conservatives under 30%.
 • Éric Grenier and Philippe J. Fournier
Carney will call most byelections in shortest amount of time since 1950
Yes, the number of federal byelections being held is unusual.
 • Éric Grenier
Conservatives slide in projection in wake of series of bad polls
Federal Projection Update for August 10, 2026.
 • Éric Grenier
The Writ's Federal Vote and Seat Projections
What would be the result of a Canadian federal election if it were held today?
 • Éric Grenier
The Writ's Riding Projections
Federal projections for each riding and region of the country.
 • Éric Grenier

July 2026

The Numbers: Just how big is the Liberal lead, really?
Plus, a trio of byelections are called.
 • Éric Grenier and Philippe J. Fournier
Weekly Writ 7/30: Liberal majority not at stake in byelections, not yet (and not likely soon)
The trio of byelections will not impact Mark Carney's majority.
 • Éric Grenier
Seat Projection: Liberals 210, Conservatives 93
Federal Projection Update for July 28, 2026.
 • Éric Grenier
The Numbers: Will Trump's new tariffs move the polls?
Mark Carney suddenly has to deal with an unpredictable U.S. president — again.
 • Éric Grenier and Philippe J. Fournier
Weekly Writ 7/23: Carney, Trump and tariffs
More than a year after Trump's first tariff threats, Canadians still want to put up a fight.
 • Éric Grenier
Liberals lead by nine in projection update
Federal Projection Update for July 21, 2026.
 • Éric Grenier
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