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The Numbers: Who will prop up Carney's minority government?
Mark Carney's Liberals will face a test of confidence before the year is up — will it pass the test?
4 hrs ago
•
Éric Grenier
and
Philippe J. Fournier
5
Weekly Writ 9/11: 3 takeaways from the polls as Parliament returns
Plus, we get a glimpse of just how much money the Conservatives spent on advertising in the 2025 campaign (it's a lot).
Sep 11
•
Éric Grenier
10
2
#EveryElectionProject: Manitoba
Capsules on Manitoba's provincial elections from The Weekly Writ
Sep 11
•
Éric Grenier
4
The Numbers: Are we buying or selling on Carney and Poilievre?
As the fall sitting of parliament approaches, which parties do we think will end the season in a better place?
Sep 9
•
Éric Grenier
and
Philippe J. Fournier
5
Weekly Writ 9/4: Will Newfoundland & Lab. follow the federal trend?
Sizing up Newfoundland & Labrador's upcoming election.
Sep 4
•
Éric Grenier
11
3
The Numbers: A tale of two NDPs
The federal NDP is in the wilderness while Wab Kinew's Manitoba NDP looks unbeatable.
Sep 3
•
Éric Grenier
and
Philippe J. Fournier
9
August 2025
Weekly Writ 8/28: Kinew, Ford and the politics of moderation
In an age of polarization, is the centrist king?
Aug 28
•
Éric Grenier
10
3
The Numbers: Are Carney's Liberals losing steam?
We take a look at a new poll that puts the Liberals behind. Plus, the Greens need a leader (again).
Aug 26
•
Éric Grenier
and
Philippe J. Fournier
4
Weekly Writ 8/21: On to the next test for Pierre Poilievre
A last look at the results in Battle River–Crowfoot. Plus, a new poll puts the PQ in the driver's seat in Quebec.
Aug 21
•
Éric Grenier
16
The Numbers: Pierre Poilievre passes his byelection test
We dissect the results of the Battle River–Crowfoot byelection.
Aug 19
•
Éric Grenier
and
Philippe J. Fournier
12
Model Development Diary #1: Which way to swing?
Re-evaluating some of the first principles in seat projections.
Aug 17
•
Éric Grenier
19
19
Weekly Writ 8/14: Byelection benchmarks for Pierre Poilievre
How to judge the scores the Conservatives and Liberals will put up on Monday. Plus, byelection results in Quebec and Prince Edward Island.
Aug 14
•
Éric Grenier
14
2
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