Archive - The Writ

The Numbers: Just how big is the Liberal lead, really?

Plus, a trio of byelections are called.

Jul 30 • Éric Grenier and Philippe J. Fournier

Weekly Writ 7/30: Liberal majority not at stake in byelections, not yet (and not likely soon)

The trio of byelections will not impact Mark Carney's majority.

Jul 30 • Éric Grenier

Seat Projection: Liberals 210, Conservatives 93

Federal Projection Update for July 28, 2026.

Jul 28 • Éric Grenier

The Writ's Federal Vote and Seat Projections

What would be the result of a Canadian federal election if it were held today?

Jul 28 • Éric Grenier

The Writ's Riding Projections

Federal projections for each riding and region of the country.

Jul 28 • Éric Grenier

The Numbers: Will Trump's new tariffs move the polls?

Mark Carney suddenly has to deal with an unpredictable U.S. president — again.

Jul 23 • Éric Grenier and Philippe J. Fournier

Weekly Writ 7/23: Carney, Trump and tariffs

More than a year after Trump's first tariff threats, Canadians still want to put up a fight.

Jul 23 • Éric Grenier

Liberals lead by nine in projection update

Federal Projection Update for July 21, 2026.

Jul 21 • Éric Grenier

Alberta Referendum Poll Tracker

Tracking the polls ahead of Alberta's referendum on October 19.

Jul 17 • Éric Grenier

The Numbers: Maybe we were wrong?

We might have been a bit too skeptical about that PEI poll last week.

Jul 16 • Éric Grenier and Philippe J. Fournier

Weekly Writ 7/16: Could the Greens make a run at government in PEI?

Plus another poll in Nova Scotia adds to the confusion.

Jul 16 • Éric Grenier

Tracking polls push Liberals to lowest level since February

Federal Projection Update for July 14, 2026.

Jul 14 • Éric Grenier

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