Sitemap - 2025 - The Writ
The Numbers: How long will this Parliament last?
How the polls did in the 2025 election
The Numbers: Post-mortem on an unprecedented election
Liberals win but just miss out on majority
Barring a polling upset, Mark Carney's Liberals will win
Seat-by-Seat Projections: Canada
Election Writ 4/26: Awaiting the final numbers
Election Writ 4/25: What's the Conservative path?
The Numbers: Who's going to win the election?
Election Writ 4/24: What can change in four days?
Ep. 145: Behind the scenes on the last days of a campaign
Election Writ 4/23: Conservatives aren't budging
Ep. #144: How elections are called
Election Writ 4/22: Liberals still favoured after flurry of new polling
The Numbers: How big a polling cushion do the Liberals have?
Election Writ 4/21: Conservatives aren't closing the gap in Ontario
Election Writ 4/19: The calm before the storm?
Election Writ 4/18: No knock-out in Round Two, either
The Numbers: Will the French debate change a tightening race?
Election Writ 4/17: No knock-out in Round One
Ep. #143: Where the polls are before the debates and where they go next
Election Writ 4/16: What's at stake in Quebec
Election Writ 4/15: Ontario is a problem for Pierre Poilievre
The Numbers: Keep calm and trust the averages
Election Writ 4/14: Don't miss the trend forest for the polling trees
Election Writ 4/12: How much can the polls move in two weeks?
Election Writ 4/11: Where have the polls moved in the last week?
The Numbers: Yes, we believe the polls
Election Writ 4/10: Believe the polls
Election Writ 4/9: Third parties dropping to historic lows
Ep. 142: When to dump your candidate — and dump on your opponents
Election Writ 4/8: Flatlining trends
The Numbers: Mind the polling gap
Election Writ 4/7: When polls disagree
Election Writ 4/5: The state of the race after two weeks
Election Writ 4/4: What impact could turnout have on the results?
The Numbers: Do the polls make sense?
Election Writ 4/3: The Bloc is in trouble
Ep. #141: Is it baked-in or could the polls change?
Election Writ 4/2: The Conservatives are stuck where it matters most
Election Writ 4/1: Liberals hit 200 seats
The Numbers: Liberals enter uncharted territory
Election Writ 3/31: Liberals keep ticking up in the polls
Election Writ 3/30: Is the race stabilizing?
Election Writ 3/29: Liberals win Week 1
Election Writ 3/28: Are the Conservatives in trouble in Ontario?
The Numbers: As NDP collapses, Carney hits new highs
Election Writ 3/27: Why the Liberals have moved ahead
Ep. #140: Parties plan, the election gods laugh
Election Writ 3/26: Why the NDP's number is the one to watch
Election Writ 3/25: Liberals grow as NDP collapses
The Numbers: The Liberal advantage is real
Election Writ 3/24: Just how solid is Mark Carney's lead?
The Numbers: The Liberals are...the favourites?
Ep. #139: The polls say it's a race
Projection Update: Liberals are now the favourite
Projection Update: It's (almost) a toss-up
The Numbers: Are you ready for an election?
Weekly Writ 3/12: After dominant leadership win, where will Carney run?
Liberal leadership race: Follow the money
The Numbers: Has the Liberal surge peaked already?
Projection Update: Polls settle into newly competitive race
The Numbers: About last night in Ontario...
Doug Ford on track to get that bigger mandate
The Numbers: The polls have gone crazy
Weekly Writ 2/26: Could Carney win a general election?
Election Writ 2/25: The race for 2nd place
Projection Update: 1-in-4 chance Conservatives fall short of majority
The Numbers: The NDP is in deep trouble
Weekly Writ 2/19: Carney's fundraising laps his rivals
Election Writ 2/18: Winners and losers from Ontario's debate
Projection Update: Gap keeps tightening as Conservatives drop below 200 seats
The Numbers: Is it a whole new race?
Weekly Writ 2/12: Are more Liberals opting out of the next election than normal?
Election Writ 2/11: Why a bigger mandate is a big ask from Ford
Projection Update: The Liberals are on the move
The Numbers: Something's happening in the polls
Weekly Writ 2/5: Conservatives have money to burn in 2025
#EveryElectionProject: Newfoundland and Labrador
Election Writ 2/4: Will the tariff pause trump Ford?
Projection Update: Liberal uptick, not surge, confirmed
The Numbers: Are the Liberals up a lot, a bit, or not at all?
Ep. #138: Is the political landscape shifting?
Weekly Writ 1/29: Leadership races and polling bumps
Projection Update: Waiting for corroboration
The Numbers: Will Ontario give Doug Ford a new mandate?
Weekly Writ 1/22: Is Ontario heading to the polls?
Projection Update: Signs of Liberal life, or a mirage?
The Numbers: Who's in, who's out, and who has a chance?
Weekly Writ 1/15: Liberal race firms up
Projection Update: Trudeau resignation hardly moves the dial
The Numbers: Now that Trudeau's out, who'll replace him?