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Discussion Thread: Biggest surprises of 2024?

The Numbers: Predicting politics in 2025

The Numbers: Stunned, floored and flabbergasted

Ep. #137: Freeland is out. Is Trudeau next?

Weekly Writ 12/18: After a tough 18 months, will this week end Trudeau?

Benchmarks for the Cloverdale–Langley City byelection

The Numbers: Liberals end year at their lowest in the polls

Weekly Writ 12/11: Will Trump give Trudeau a reboot?

The Numbers: Polls go from bad to sad for the Liberals

The map that delivers Poilievre's majority

The Numbers: A shock poll and a PC wave

Weekly Writ 11/27: Houston's PCs cruise to victory

Nova Scotia PCs look set for big win

The Numbers: Liberals, NDP tied in new poll — again

Weekly Writ 11/20: What history says about Trudeau's try for four in a row

#EveryElectionProject: The North

Election Writ 11/18: Nova Scotia's bellwether

The Numbers: Yet another tough byelection test for Trudeau

Weekly Writ 11/13: How the Canadian polls did this fall

#EveryElectionProject: Alberta

Election Writ 11/11: Where are the Trudeau-Houston voters?

The Numbers: Did the U.S. polls miss the mark?

Weekly Writ 11/6: Did ending the CASA boost NDP fundraising?

#EveryElectionProject: Manitoba

Election Writ 11/4: State of play in Nova Scotia

Ep. #136: Three elections, many lessons

Weekly Writ 10/30: What went down in Saskatchewan

#EveryElectionProject: Nova Scotia

Saskatchewan, a toss-up? Believe it

The Numbers: What just happened?

Weekly Writ 10/23: Turning points everywhere

Will the NB Liberals buck the anti-Liberal national trend?

B.C. NDP favoured, but Conservatives could pull off upset

The Numbers: Days of Decision in BC, NB — and for Justin Trudeau

Weekly Writ 10/16: Trudeau faces his biggest challenge

Election Writ 10/15: Are the B.C. Conservatives falling behind?

Ep. #135: B.C., New Brunswick and Saskatchewan election updates

Weekly Writ 10/9: Would an NDP run for 2nd be worth the risk?

Election Writ 10/7: How the candidate slates could impact the elections

The Numbers: Are the Liberals now in third place?

Ep. #134: B.C. and New Brunswick campaign update

Weekly Writ 9/25: More three-way battles to come

#EveryElectionProject: Prince Edward Island

Election Writ 9/23: And we're off!

The Numbers: After another defeat, where do the Liberals go from here?

Weekly Writ 9/18: Bad byelections for the Liberals, again

Benchmarks for tonight's byelections

Ep. #133: Byelections for now, a general election soon?

#EveryElectionProject: New Brunswick

Weekly Writ 9/11: Monday's byelection scenarios

Sask. Party still favourite to win in October

The Numbers: Jagmeet Singh rips up the deal — now what?

Weekly Writ 9/4: Will the long byelection ballot influence the result?

#EveryElectionProject: Canada

New Brunswick still a toss, but could be a Liberal-leaning one

Ep. #132: B.C.'s election bombshell

Weekly Writ 8/28: Liberals beating the brand

B.C. NDP position worsening, but it's still the narrow favourite to win

The Numbers: Summer is ending, polling season begins

Weekly Writ 8/21: Box-checking vs. seat-flipping

Ep. #131: Look ahead to Saskatchewan

Weekly Writ 8/14: Is Quebec about to flip?

#EveryElectionProject: Saskatchewan

The Numbers: Byelection Draft Day!

Weekly Writ 8/7: Why Pierre Poilievre's fundraising edge is different

Ep. #130: Look ahead to New Brunswick

Weekly Writ 7/31: Last chance byelections?

#EveryElectionProject: British Columbia

One year out (or sooner), Nova Scotia PCs heavily favoured to win

The Numbers: Trudeau's next byelection test

Weekly Writ 7/24: Poilievre, Singh target northern Ontario

The Numbers: Don't you know who I am?

The Numbers: Summer mailbag!

LaSalle–Émard–Verdun: The Liberals' next test

Ep. #129: Trudeau's and Poilievre's summer plans

Weekly Writ for July 3: Should Trudeau stay or should he go?

The Numbers: A turning point in Toronto–St. Paul's

Weekly Writ for June 26: Another canary in the Liberal coalmine

What to watch in Toronto–St. Paul's

Ep. #128: Poll deep dive with David Coletto, byelection edition

Weekly Writ for June 19: Are Canadians not in 'decision mode' yet?

The State of the Writ, Year 3

The Numbers: Don't call it a comeback yet, Liberals

Weekly Writ for June 12: Will climate change be a ballot box issue?

New Brunswick election still a toss-up

Ep. #127: Wild times in B.C. politics

Weekly Writ for June 5: Battleground spotlight on Atlantic Canada

The Numbers: Snap elections, byelections and Trudeau's leadership

Weekly Writ for May 29: Why BC Conservatives had good reason to reject BCU deal

Ep. #126: Wab Kinew's first election test as premier

Weekly Writ for May 22: A high-stakes byelection for Justin Trudeau

As BC United collapses, NDP now has a fight on its hands

The Numbers: Strong, stable, national Conservative 20-point lead

Weekly Writ for May 15: Battleground spotlight on B.C.

#EveryElectionProject: Quebec

Ep. #125: Doug Ford's staying power

Weekly Writ for May 8: Is Trudeau a drag on Crombie? Maybe not

The Numbers: Conservatives put up some big numbers

Weekly Writ for May 1: NDP fundraising doesn't point to election readiness

Ep. #124: Budget bumps and bluffs

Weekly Writ for Apr. 24: Battleground spotlight on The 905

Where the new electoral map will matter most

The Numbers: Could an election make sense for the NDP?

Weekly Writ for Apr. 17: Will this minority government go the distance?

Ep. #123: Will the Liberals' budget roll-out strategy work?

Weekly Writ for Apr. 10: How the loss of incumbents hurts the NDP

#EveryElectionProject: Ontario

The Numbers: A new trend or another blip?

Weekly Writ for Apr. 3: Trudeau vs. the premiers

Ep. #122: Where the Alberta NDP leadership race stands

Weekly Writ for Mar. 27: Alberta NDP leadership race bombshell

Anthony Housefather's dilemma in Mount Royal

The Numbers: With Liberal friends like these...

Weekly Writ for Mar. 20: Eby's NDP still on track for big win

Ep. #121: Polling deep dive with David Coletto

Weekly Writ for Mar. 13: Naheed Nenshi is in

Poilievre's multiple paths to a majority — plus which provincial premiers would lose today

The Numbers: Proving the polls right

Weekly Writ for Mar. 6: What Durham tells us

What to watch in the Durham byelection

Ep. #120: How to win a byelection

Weekly Writ for Feb. 28: Pharma deal gives Liberals more of the only thing they have left — time

The Numbers: Races for second places

Weekly Writ for Feb. 21: The seats that would give Poilievre a majority government

Ep. #119: Making Canadian politics great again with the pollsters

Weekly Writ for Feb. 14: A new polling normal that's not normal at all

The Numbers: Will the NDP pull the plug?

Weekly Writ for Feb. 7: A deep-dive into Poilievre's fundraising machine

Ep. #118: Trawling for votes on the east coast

Weekly Writ for Jan. 31: Liberal brand fatigue in the provinces?

Conservatives come out ahead on new electoral map but don't need the help

The Numbers: Dissent in the ranks

Weekly Writ for Jan. 24: Which cabinet ministers are in danger of defeat?

Ep. #117: Election year in three provinces

Weekly Writ for Jan. 17: Your guesses for 2024

It'll be a closer election, but Sask Party remains heavy favourite in 2024

The Numbers: Nevermind, Liberals are doomed again

Weekly Writ for Jan. 10: Crisis and opportunity when MPs retire

Can you predict what will happen in 2024?