Subscribe
Sign in
Home
The Weekly Writ
Vote and Seat Projections
The Numbers Podcast
The #EveryElectionProject
The Writ Podcast
The Writ on YouTube
Archive
About
Weekly Writ 5/14: With stability in Ottawa, the action is in the provinces now
Provincial politics is entering a period of tumult and uncertainty.
15 hrs ago
•
Éric Grenier
7
3
The Numbers: Is Smith playing with matches in Alberta's referendum powder keg?
Polls suggest an independence referendum would almost certainly lose. So why might Smith still want to hold one?
6 hrs ago
•
Éric Grenier
and
Philippe J. Fournier
6
1
3
8.1 million Conservative voters? Not anymore
Federal Projection Update for May 12, 2026.
May 12
•
Éric Grenier
26
2
4
The Writ's Federal Vote and Seat Projections
What would be the result of a Canadian federal election if it were held today?
May 12
•
Éric Grenier
15
4
The Writ's Riding Projections
Federal projections for each riding and region of the country.
May 12
•
Éric Grenier
14
2
Vote and Seat Projections
View all
The Writ's Federal Vote and Seat Projections
What would be the result of a Canadian federal election if it were held today?
May 12
•
Éric Grenier
15
4
The Writ's Riding Projections
Federal projections for each riding and region of the country.
May 12
•
Éric Grenier
14
2
8.1 million Conservative voters? Not anymore
Federal Projection Update for May 12, 2026.
May 12
•
Éric Grenier
26
2
4
Carney's Liberals keep cruising
Federal Projection Update for May 5, 2026.
May 5
•
Éric Grenier
12
2
2
Recent posts
View all
The Numbers: Carney's got the boomers — and the youths, too?
Plus, has Avi Lewis boosted the NDP at all?
May 7
•
Éric Grenier
and
Philippe J. Fournier
8
3
Weekly Writ 5/7: How the BC Conservative leadership could play out — and why it matters
Now leading in fundraising, a new poll puts the B.C. Conservatives ahead of David Eby's NDP.
May 7
•
Éric Grenier
6
4
4
Carney's Liberals keep cruising
Federal Projection Update for May 5, 2026.
May 5
•
Éric Grenier
12
2
2
The Numbers: Trio of vacancies to test Carney, Poilievre and Lewis
The Liberals, Conservatives and NDP will all face some challenges in upcoming byelections.
Apr 30
•
Éric Grenier
and
Philippe J. Fournier
8
2
Weekly Writ 4/30: Doug Ford is lucky he called an early election
Polls show the Ontario PCs neck-and-neck with the Liberals.
Apr 30
•
Éric Grenier
14
6
3
One year after the election, picture is rosier for Carney (and is the NDP on the upswing?)
Federal Projection Update for April 28, 2026.
Apr 28
•
Éric Grenier
15
4
3
See all
The Writ
Insights and analysis on Canadian politics and elections.
Subscribe
Recommendations
View all 7
Daveberta - Alberta politics and elections
Dave Cournoyer
inFocus with David Coletto
David Coletto
338Canada.ca
Philippe J. Fournier
City Hall Watcher
Matt Elliott
Queen's Park Observer
Sabrina Nanji
This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please
turn on JavaScript
or unblock scripts
