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The Numbers: Carney's cabinet, Poilievre's byelection
Do cabinet ministers matter electorally? Plus, the PQ leads in a new Quebec poll.
 • 
Éric Grenier
 and 
Philippe J. Fournier
1
Election '25 Deep Dive: Where the Liberals lost their majority in Ontario
Ontario was a two-party race as the NDP vote collapsed.
 • 
Éric Grenier
7
The Numbers: Wexit, Alberta-ta, Saskatchewants-out?
How the numbers look on Alberta and Saskatchewan separation.
 • 
Éric Grenier
 and 
Philippe J. Fournier
How the riding-level surprises tell one tale of the election
Where the seat projection missed gives us clues of what happened in the federal vote.
 • 
Éric Grenier
2
The Numbers: How long will this Parliament last?
We discuss how long it will be before the next election. Plus, the return of The Quiz!
 • 
Éric Grenier
 and 
Philippe J. Fournier
How the polls did in the 2025 election
Another good election for the polling industry.
 • 
Éric Grenier
7
The Numbers: Post-mortem on an unprecedented election
How the polls and the projections did in Monday's vote.
 • 
Éric Grenier
 and 
Philippe J. Fournier
Liberals win but just miss out on majority
Strong performance for Conservatives in Ontario keeps Liberals to a minority.
 • 
Éric Grenier
27
Barring a polling upset, Mark Carney's Liberals will win
Some doubt remains about a majority victory, but the data suggests the Conservatives have come up short in key battlegrounds.
 • 
Éric Grenier
7
Seat-by-Seat Projections: Canada
The riding level projections behind the Poll Tracker.
 • 
Éric Grenier
34
Election Writ 4/26: Awaiting the final numbers
What we've seen so far doesn't suggest a late shift in support.
 • 
Éric Grenier
2
Election Writ 4/25: What's the Conservative path?
A lot would have to go their way, but it isn't impossible.
 • 
Éric Grenier
3
The Writ
The Writ
Insights and analysis on Canadian politics and elections.
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