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Barring a polling upset, Mark Carney's Liberals will win
Some doubt remains about a majority victory, but the data suggests the Conservatives have come up short in key battlegrounds.
Apr 28 • 
Éric Grenier
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The Writ
Barring a polling upset, Mark Carney's Liberals will win
7
Election Writ 4/10: Believe the polls
Every poll now has the Conservatives behind.
Apr 10 • 
Éric Grenier
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Election Writ 4/10: Believe the polls
6
Election Writ 4/26: Awaiting the final numbers
What we've seen so far doesn't suggest a late shift in support.
Apr 26 • 
Éric Grenier
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Election Writ 4/26: Awaiting the final numbers
2
Election Writ 4/22: Liberals still favoured after flurry of new polling
A tightening national race masks a decisive Liberal edge in Ontario and B.C.
Apr 22 • 
Éric Grenier
31

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Election Writ 4/22: Liberals still favoured after flurry of new polling
Who do Canadians think was the country's best prime minister?
An exclusive poll by Pollara for The Writ gives us the answer!
Jan 23, 2023 • 
Éric Grenier
17

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Who do Canadians think was the country's best prime minister?
7
Election Writ 4/23: Conservatives aren't budging
The Liberals might be slipping a little, but the Conservatives aren't showing many signs of growth.
Apr 23 • 
Éric Grenier
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Election Writ 4/23: Conservatives aren't budging
7
Election Writ 4/21: Conservatives aren't closing the gap in Ontario
Post-debate polling suggests the dial isn't shifting.
Apr 21 • 
Éric Grenier
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Election Writ 4/21: Conservatives aren't closing the gap in Ontario
14
Election Writ 4/25: What's the Conservative path?
A lot would have to go their way, but it isn't impossible.
Apr 25 • 
Éric Grenier
30

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Election Writ 4/25: What's the Conservative path?
3
Election Writ 4/15: Ontario is a problem for Pierre Poilievre
The Conservatives trail by too much in Ontario. That'll need to change to give them a chance to win.
Apr 15 • 
Éric Grenier
31

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Election Writ 4/15: Ontario is a problem for Pierre Poilievre
2
Election Writ 3/31: Liberals keep ticking up in the polls
Seat projection approaches 200 seats for the Carney Liberals.
Mar 31 • 
Éric Grenier
30

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Election Writ 3/31: Liberals keep ticking up in the polls
How the riding-level surprises tell one tale of the election
Where the seat projection missed gives us clues of what happened in the federal vote.
May 7 • 
Éric Grenier
30

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How the riding-level surprises tell one tale of the election
2
Election Writ 4/11: Where have the polls moved in the last week?
The polls have been stable, but they've shifted a little in two regions.
Apr 11 • 
Éric Grenier
29

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Election Writ 4/11: Where have the polls moved in the last week?
3
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