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Barring a polling upset, Mark Carney's Liberals will win
Some doubt remains about a majority victory, but the data suggests the Conservatives have come up short in key battlegrounds.
Apr 28
•
Éric Grenier
65
7
2
Election Writ 4/10: Believe the polls
Every poll now has the Conservatives behind.
Apr 10
•
Éric Grenier
53
6
8
Who do Canadians think was the country's best prime minister?
An exclusive poll by Pollara for The Writ gives us the answer!
Jan 23, 2023
•
Éric Grenier
17
7
1
Election Writ 4/26: Awaiting the final numbers
What we've seen so far doesn't suggest a late shift in support.
Apr 26
•
Éric Grenier
35
2
5
Election Writ 4/22: Liberals still favoured after flurry of new polling
A tightening national race masks a decisive Liberal edge in Ontario and B.C.
Apr 22
•
Éric Grenier
31
6
Election Writ 4/23: Conservatives aren't budging
The Liberals might be slipping a little, but the Conservatives aren't showing many signs of growth.
Apr 23
•
Éric Grenier
34
7
5
Election Writ 4/21: Conservatives aren't closing the gap in Ontario
Post-debate polling suggests the dial isn't shifting.
Apr 21
•
Éric Grenier
36
14
4
Election Writ 4/25: What's the Conservative path?
A lot would have to go their way, but it isn't impossible.
Apr 25
•
Éric Grenier
30
3
4
Election Writ 4/15: Ontario is a problem for Pierre Poilievre
The Conservatives trail by too much in Ontario. That'll need to change to give them a chance to win.
Apr 15
•
Éric Grenier
31
2
4
Election Writ 3/31: Liberals keep ticking up in the polls
Seat projection approaches 200 seats for the Carney Liberals.
Mar 31
•
Éric Grenier
30
5
How the riding-level surprises tell one tale of the election
Where the seat projection missed gives us clues of what happened in the federal vote.
May 7
•
Éric Grenier
30
2
7
Election Writ 4/11: Where have the polls moved in the last week?
The polls have been stable, but they've shifted a little in two regions.
Apr 11
•
Éric Grenier
29
3
5
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