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PQ remains favourite to win against divided opposition
Two new polls show the PQ is stable at under 30%, but no other party is gaining steam.
Sep 21
•
Éric Grenier
10
2
The Writ's Quebec Election Tracker
Tracking the polls and projecting likely outcomes of the Oct. 5 election in Quebec
Sep 21
•
Éric Grenier
26
12
Alberta NDP scores surprising win
Plus, announcing some changes coming to The Writ.
Sep 17
•
Éric Grenier
8
5
3
The Numbers: An upset win in Alberta and a snap election in B.C.?
The NDP pulls off a surprising byelection victory in Alberta, while party turmoil is heightening speculation of a snap election in B.C.
Sep 16
•
Éric Grenier
and
Philippe J. Fournier
13
2
Carney’s Liberals hit new high in projection
Polls boost the Liberals to their biggest lead over the Conservatives
Sep 15
•
Éric Grenier
13
3
2
Vote and Seat Projections
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The Writ's Federal Vote and Seat Projections
What would be the result of a Canadian federal election if it were held today?
Sep 15
•
Éric Grenier
20
22
Alberta Referendum Poll Tracker
Tracking the polls ahead of Alberta's referendum on October 19
Sep 14
•
Éric Grenier
19
9
The Writ's Quebec Election Tracker
Tracking the polls and projecting likely outcomes of the Oct. 5 election in Quebec
Sep 21
•
Éric Grenier
26
12
Carney’s Liberals hit new high in projection
Polls boost the Liberals to their biggest lead over the Conservatives
Sep 15
•
Éric Grenier
13
3
2
Recent posts
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The Writ's Federal Vote and Seat Projections
What would be the result of a Canadian federal election if it were held today?
Sep 15
•
Éric Grenier
20
22
Alberta Referendum Poll Tracker
Tracking the polls ahead of Alberta's referendum on October 19
Sep 14
•
Éric Grenier
19
9
PQ lead holds in divided race
CAQ falls back slightly as Liberals rebound.
Sep 14
•
Éric Grenier
11
2
The Numbers: Carney gets his Trump bump
Polls show support for Mark Carney and the Liberals is up again as focus turns back to the U.S. president’s threats.
Sep 10
•
Éric Grenier
and
Philippe J. Fournier
13
3
Canadians ready to hunker down for trade war
Polls continue to show little appetite for concessions.
Sep 10
•
Éric Grenier
13
2
5
Liberals widen federal lead, PQ holds in Quebec
Projection updates for September 8, 2026.
Sep 8
•
Éric Grenier
12
3
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The Writ
Insights and analysis on Canadian politics and elections.
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