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Liberals hit highest point in the seat projection
Have we reached peak Carney, or could the ceiling be raised even further?
May 19
•
Éric Grenier
15
6
2
The Writ's Federal Vote and Seat Projections
What would be the result of a Canadian federal election if it were held today?
May 19
•
Éric Grenier
15
5
The Writ's Riding Projections
Federal projections for each riding and region of the country.
May 19
•
Éric Grenier
14
2
The Numbers: Is Smith playing with matches in Alberta's referendum powder keg?
Polls suggest an independence referendum would almost certainly lose. So why might Smith still want to hold one?
May 14
•
Éric Grenier
and
Philippe J. Fournier
9
1
5
Weekly Writ 5/14: With stability in Ottawa, the action is in the provinces now
Provincial politics is entering a period of tumult and uncertainty.
May 14
•
Éric Grenier
8
3
Vote and Seat Projections
View all
The Writ's Federal Vote and Seat Projections
What would be the result of a Canadian federal election if it were held today?
May 19
•
Éric Grenier
15
5
The Writ's Riding Projections
Federal projections for each riding and region of the country.
May 19
•
Éric Grenier
14
2
Liberals hit highest point in the seat projection
Have we reached peak Carney, or could the ceiling be raised even further?
May 19
•
Éric Grenier
15
6
2
8.1 million Conservative voters? Not anymore
Federal Projection Update for May 12, 2026.
May 12
•
Éric Grenier
28
2
5
Recent posts
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8.1 million Conservative voters? Not anymore
Federal Projection Update for May 12, 2026.
May 12
•
Éric Grenier
28
2
5
The Numbers: Carney's got the boomers — and the youths, too?
Plus, has Avi Lewis boosted the NDP at all?
May 7
•
Éric Grenier
and
Philippe J. Fournier
8
3
Weekly Writ 5/7: How the BC Conservative leadership could play out — and why it matters
Now leading in fundraising, a new poll puts the B.C. Conservatives ahead of David Eby's NDP.
May 7
•
Éric Grenier
6
4
4
Carney's Liberals keep cruising
Federal Projection Update for May 5, 2026.
May 5
•
Éric Grenier
12
2
2
The Numbers: Trio of vacancies to test Carney, Poilievre and Lewis
The Liberals, Conservatives and NDP will all face some challenges in upcoming byelections.
Apr 30
•
Éric Grenier
and
Philippe J. Fournier
9
2
Weekly Writ 4/30: Doug Ford is lucky he called an early election
Polls show the Ontario PCs neck-and-neck with the Liberals.
Apr 30
•
Éric Grenier
14
6
3
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The Writ
Insights and analysis on Canadian politics and elections.
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