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The Numbers: Predicting 2026 in federal politics!
The first part of our Fifth Annual Over/Under Contest.
Dec 23
•
Éric Grenier
and
Philippe J. Fournier
8
4
Model Development Diary #2: Do candidates matter?
And if so, by how much?
Dec 21
•
Éric Grenier
12
6
3
Weekly Writ 12/18: What to watch in 2026
All the ingredients are there for a year full of political drama.
Dec 18
•
Éric Grenier
12
3
#EveryElectionProject: Nova Scotia
Capsules on Nova Scotia's elections from The Weekly Writ
Dec 18
•
Éric Grenier
1
The Numbers: Poilievre suffers another blow as roller-coaster year comes to an end
A floor-crossing puts Mark Carney one seat away from a majority, capping off a tumultuous 12-months.
Dec 16
•
Éric Grenier
and
Philippe J. Fournier
13
3
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Barring a polling upset, Mark Carney's Liberals will win
Apr 28
•
Éric Grenier
65
7
2
Who do Canadians think was the country's best prime minister?
Jan 23, 2023
•
Éric Grenier
17
7
1
Election Writ 4/10: Believe the polls
Apr 10
•
Éric Grenier
53
6
8
Election Writ 4/26: Awaiting the final numbers
Apr 26
•
Éric Grenier
35
2
5
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Weekly Writ 12/11: B.C. Conservatives look to post-Rustad future
Plus, how many seats would each federal party win if an election were held today?
Dec 11
•
Éric Grenier
13
2
3
#EveryElectionProject: Saskatchewan
Capsules on Saskatchewan's elections from The Weekly Writ
Dec 11
•
Éric Grenier
3
The Numbers: Could the shake-up in B.C. be felt in Ottawa?
John Rustad resigns as B.C. Conservative leader, opening up a potentially coveted job vacancy.
Dec 9
•
Éric Grenier
and
Philippe J. Fournier
10
4
Weekly Writ 12/4: Risks and rewards for the Liberals in pipeline project
Polls suggest that public opinion has not shifted much since the announcement of the MOU with Alberta.
Dec 4
•
Éric Grenier
12
2
4
#EveryElectionProject: Alberta
Capsules on Alberta's elections from The Weekly Writ
Dec 4
•
Éric Grenier
4
1
The Numbers: Mark Carney's hinge moment
Will the MOU with Alberta prove to be a turning point for Mark Carney's Liberals — for better or for worse?
Dec 2
•
Éric Grenier
and
Philippe J. Fournier
11
3
Weekly Writ 11/27: Riding data shows where parties targeted their election spending
A deep-dive into how parties allocated their resources at the riding level in the last federal election.
Nov 27
•
Éric Grenier
13
2
4
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Insights and analysis on Canadian politics and elections.
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