I think byelections generally become about 1st vs. 2nd, and the NDP isn't 1st or 2nd in a lot of ridings. And when they are, it is about a major party vs. a minor party, in terms of the role in the House. I think it is just tough to motivate an NDP voter, particularly as they are disproportionately younger, to go out and support the NDP in byelections.
I haven't looked at the numbers recently, but I think they usually have a tough time.
Great, as usual!
Curious, why do you think the NDP perform poorly in by-elections as compared to the general election as discussed in the opening?
I think byelections generally become about 1st vs. 2nd, and the NDP isn't 1st or 2nd in a lot of ridings. And when they are, it is about a major party vs. a minor party, in terms of the role in the House. I think it is just tough to motivate an NDP voter, particularly as they are disproportionately younger, to go out and support the NDP in byelections.
A but confused, what is The Waffle?
It was a far-left wing of the NDP. Wikipedia has a page on it:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Waffle
Thanks!