How does Poilievre's own riding factor into the Ottawa numbers? Assuming he's seen a bump here, this would suggest an even further decline in the rest of Ottawa.
Good point, though that would be a bit harder to tease out of the numbers. Also, any constituency-level fundraising would be reported by the Carleton EDA.
Since political donstions are necessarily paid for with discretionary income, might the declines in Vancouver and Toronto be partly explained by the excessive housing and/or fuel inflation in those cities?
As a former fundraiser, I'd say that retiree donors are the most sensitive to cost-of-living fluctuations, but they're considerably more sensitive to downturns in the stock market (since their income is derived primarily from investments), so you're probably right.
The real test is when Pollievre has to defend his policies instead of just attacking the liberal government. Currently, he appears to have no policy on issues that matter a lot to Canadians, which includes climate change, and the relationship with indigenous people. It’s not hard to gain a lot of money from a group of racist, white people who feel threatened by changing policy and changing conditions in their country and their own power is being threatened by change. These folks see the conservative party as their last hope.
His Preston Manning makeover is very telling. I am waiting for him to cackle out “Reform!” I believe that when the chips are down most people want a sustainable society. The lack of such policies in the reform-conservative party will be noted by the centrist electorate.
Hi Jason - it's a bit complicated to get that information. Since the data is broken down by postal codes and city names, I can't easily tease out the York Region donations. This is why I broke it down by postal code regions and big cities, since that is more easily drawn out of the data. Sorry!
How does Poilievre's own riding factor into the Ottawa numbers? Assuming he's seen a bump here, this would suggest an even further decline in the rest of Ottawa.
Good point, though that would be a bit harder to tease out of the numbers. Also, any constituency-level fundraising would be reported by the Carleton EDA.
Since political donstions are necessarily paid for with discretionary income, might the declines in Vancouver and Toronto be partly explained by the excessive housing and/or fuel inflation in those cities?
I suppose it is possible, but I wonder how many people who donate more than $200 to political parties are really impacted by that.
As a former fundraiser, I'd say that retiree donors are the most sensitive to cost-of-living fluctuations, but they're considerably more sensitive to downturns in the stock market (since their income is derived primarily from investments), so you're probably right.
Also, fundraising is up in places like the GTA and Burnaby, where these issues would presumably also be a problem for prospective donors.
The real test is when Pollievre has to defend his policies instead of just attacking the liberal government. Currently, he appears to have no policy on issues that matter a lot to Canadians, which includes climate change, and the relationship with indigenous people. It’s not hard to gain a lot of money from a group of racist, white people who feel threatened by changing policy and changing conditions in their country and their own power is being threatened by change. These folks see the conservative party as their last hope.
His Preston Manning makeover is very telling. I am waiting for him to cackle out “Reform!” I believe that when the chips are down most people want a sustainable society. The lack of such policies in the reform-conservative party will be noted by the centrist electorate.
Hi Eric, I am interested in data from York region north of Toronto. Is there a big increase in raw number of donors or just the overall amount?
Hi Jason - it's a bit complicated to get that information. Since the data is broken down by postal codes and city names, I can't easily tease out the York Region donations. This is why I broke it down by postal code regions and big cities, since that is more easily drawn out of the data. Sorry!
Hi Eric, whne will you post the new ontario map analysis?
I'm hoping to have the next instalment up on Monday!
Hi Eric, I am interested in data from York region north of Toronto. Is there a big increase in raw number of donors or just the overall amount?