Philippe J. Fournier joins me to chat about the federal byelection calls.
Why do you use the phrase "midterm"? It is standard American political term but we do not have fixed terms. We have too many instances of USA phrases entering our politics. Think about how many times folks refer to "the feds" instead of Ottawa whereas in the USA it means the Federal Reserve Board (the fed) or the FBI. A friend showed me an invitation to attend a Poilievre event where he is described as s "candidate for Prime Minister."
I'm really interesting to see how well the Liberal ground game plays out - they're pretty famous for outperforming expecations in by-elections. I think that a riding like Oxford, that has a lot of drama in the Conservative camp for a parachute candidate, will be the closest of the four.
The other big test we'll see here is how well Poilievre's Conservatives can do it Quebec - there's a non-zero chance we see them finish 5th behind the Bloc and the Greens.