Do you think Ottawa-area ridings like Kanata-Carleton and Orleans that were Conservative all through the Harper years but went Liberal in 2015 are totally out of reach for the Conservatives in the current environment?
Not totally if they have a good campaign, but I think the demographic changings since 2011 have made those ridings a little more urban than they used to be, so they are harder to win for the Conservatives. The Ontario PCs weren't able to win Orleans in the 2018 campaign, which should have been a best-case scenario. They did win Kanata-Carleton, though.
There's a decent amount of seats from the Maritimes on here. I'm not sure O'Toole though will do any better than Scheer did there. Maybe some pick up possibilities in NB; Fredericton will be interesting to see indeed. If the Green vote collapses in NB and PEI, it will be interesting to see where those voters go or if they just stay home.
As Winnipeg South goes, so goes the nation.......
Do you think Ottawa-area ridings like Kanata-Carleton and Orleans that were Conservative all through the Harper years but went Liberal in 2015 are totally out of reach for the Conservatives in the current environment?
Not totally if they have a good campaign, but I think the demographic changings since 2011 have made those ridings a little more urban than they used to be, so they are harder to win for the Conservatives. The Ontario PCs weren't able to win Orleans in the 2018 campaign, which should have been a best-case scenario. They did win Kanata-Carleton, though.
There's a decent amount of seats from the Maritimes on here. I'm not sure O'Toole though will do any better than Scheer did there. Maybe some pick up possibilities in NB; Fredericton will be interesting to see indeed. If the Green vote collapses in NB and PEI, it will be interesting to see where those voters go or if they just stay home.