First, nice layout of the breakdown of factions and paths.
I'm curious if Poilievre can be more successful than O'Toole on the standard pivot, hard partisan running for leadership, more prime ministerial running for government. Mulroney and Harper could strike that balance, can Poilievre, he plays the wedge baiting game pretty hard?
Politicians have shelf lives. Mulroney, Harper, elder Trudeau, etc., leave office, I believe, with fairly high disapproval ratings (as in 'most hated politician in Canada' category.) Some folks hit their disqualifying disapproval rating after a couple of terms as PM, some before they get there. Which is Poilievre likely to be? Any early data that might provide insight into such outcomes?
His jumping all over the convoy, garnering selfies of self-promotion, plays predictably to the partisans for and against. But what about the shifting middle that elects governments? Just a thought.
Very interesting segmentation of the party base. If the leadership vote were held tomorrow between just two candidates: PP vs Doug Ford, how might the vote break down among the four factions and who would likely win?
First, nice layout of the breakdown of factions and paths.
I'm curious if Poilievre can be more successful than O'Toole on the standard pivot, hard partisan running for leadership, more prime ministerial running for government. Mulroney and Harper could strike that balance, can Poilievre, he plays the wedge baiting game pretty hard?
Politicians have shelf lives. Mulroney, Harper, elder Trudeau, etc., leave office, I believe, with fairly high disapproval ratings (as in 'most hated politician in Canada' category.) Some folks hit their disqualifying disapproval rating after a couple of terms as PM, some before they get there. Which is Poilievre likely to be? Any early data that might provide insight into such outcomes?
His jumping all over the convoy, garnering selfies of self-promotion, plays predictably to the partisans for and against. But what about the shifting middle that elects governments? Just a thought.
Very interesting segmentation of the party base. If the leadership vote were held tomorrow between just two candidates: PP vs Doug Ford, how might the vote break down among the four factions and who would likely win?
Very good.