Do you think the difference between a toss & an edge might, in practice, be too granular to be meaningful? If so, I wonder if it’s skewing the seat projection.
It’s not really skewing things — the Liberals lead in 230 ridings, simple as that, regardless of how they’re classified. It’s more the difference between what the model shows and the real-world of what’s more likely to happen.
Is there comparable data from UK for the same timeframe ahead of Brexit? It'd be fascinating to see those trends compared, and since the PM himself drew the comparison, it's definitely fair game.
Do you think the difference between a toss & an edge might, in practice, be too granular to be meaningful? If so, I wonder if it’s skewing the seat projection.
It’s not really skewing things — the Liberals lead in 230 ridings, simple as that, regardless of how they’re classified. It’s more the difference between what the model shows and the real-world of what’s more likely to happen.
Is there comparable data from UK for the same timeframe ahead of Brexit? It'd be fascinating to see those trends compared, and since the PM himself drew the comparison, it's definitely fair game.