The Writ

Share this post

The impact the Ontario debate needs to have to change this race

www.thewrit.ca

The impact the Ontario debate needs to have to change this race

Steven Del Duca and Andrea Horwath need tonight's debate to shake up the campaign

Éric Grenier
May 16, 2022
8
2
Share this post

The impact the Ontario debate needs to have to change this race

www.thewrit.ca

There’s only a little more than two weeks to go in the Ontario election campaign and tonight’s leaders debate might be the last best chance for Steven Del Duca and Andrea Horwath to keep their hopes of defeating Doug Ford alive.

As it stands, the Ontario Progressive Conservatives are on track for another majority government. They lead the Ontario Liberals by about nine percentage points and their double-digit advantage in the Greater Toronto Area is decisive. Combine those seats with the rock-solid PC base in rural southwestern and eastern Ontario and Ford is easily on track for at least the 63 seats needed for another majority government.

The polls haven’t shifted much so far. If the debate doesn’t shake things up, they might not shift at all.

So what kind of movement in the polls do we need to see to dramatically change the face of this election campaign?

This post is for paid subscribers

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2023 Éric Grenier
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start WritingGet the app
Substack is the home for great writing