As a centre-left voter I wanted Mainstreet to be wrong, but great polling by them and a needed reminder that wishing doesn't make it so. Also good to see that so much of the polling was able to anticipate voting patterns reasonably correctly — that's one dark art that I'm completely in awe of.
Eric, would you ever consider making the Poll Tracker min/max scenarios account explicitly for the recent patterns in small polling misses? Has CPC outperformed the polls consistently enough that the model should reflect that? I realize it's a tough call, because pollsters are presumably making changes too, and you would not want to overcorrect.
Eric---it seems to me the Election came a week too late for the Liberals, and a week too soon for the Tories?
Ha, that sounds about right!
As a centre-left voter I wanted Mainstreet to be wrong, but great polling by them and a needed reminder that wishing doesn't make it so. Also good to see that so much of the polling was able to anticipate voting patterns reasonably correctly — that's one dark art that I'm completely in awe of.
Are these error numbers added to the poll tracker to determine the dependability of various pollsters?
Eric, would you ever consider making the Poll Tracker min/max scenarios account explicitly for the recent patterns in small polling misses? Has CPC outperformed the polls consistently enough that the model should reflect that? I realize it's a tough call, because pollsters are presumably making changes too, and you would not want to overcorrect.